2040 MATTERS

The State and counties should already be collaborating on a predictable and transparent transition into Stage 3 of California’s COVID-19 Resiliency Roadmap There was a hint of normalcy in the air this past holiday weekend. With many counties transitioning into Stage 2(b) of the California Resiliency Roadmap, people took advantage of open beaches, restaurants, and retail ...

The Governor must deliver on his repeated, and so far empty, promises to increase local control over public health. In the iconic Peanuts comic strip, one of the recurring plot lines revolved around Charlie Brown repeatedly attempting to kick a football held by Lucy van Pelt, only to have her yank the football away at the ...

The START Guide for re-opening San Luis Obispo County could accelerate Santa Barbara County's transition into the next phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. In California, the curtain is coming down on the statewide stay at home order issued in response to COVID-19. Counties are charting their own course. Businesses are re-opening. Law enforcement is showing little ...

Having failed to plan for the success of the stay at home order, California must now plan for the poverty pandemic and other crises that will soon follow. History will not be kind to government at any level for its inaction in the face of COVID-19 during February 2020. Sadly, we have squandered our time in ...

The statewide stay at home order has more than served its intended purpose. We now have more than two weeks of official data to assess the effectiveness of the extraordinary statewide stay at home order issued by Governor Newsom. The express purpose of the order was to flatten the daily hospital admission curve at a point ...

County officials need to take the lead on addressing the Governor’s six indicators and transitioning out of the COVID-19 statewide stay at home order. On Tuesday, Governor Newsom released a planning framework for gradually replacing the statewide stay at home order with less disruptive public health measures. He acknowledged that the collateral costs of the stay ...

Brian Goebel was interviewed live via Zoom yesterday by Noozhawk Founder Bill Macfadyen.  The interview covered the trajectory of COVID-19 in California, Brian's modeling efforts to date, and the key lessons learned that should guide public health efforts during the next phase of the pandemic.  You can watch the full interview on our Facebook Page.

I have received several emails and comments in response to my Posts asking for me to provide a link to the statistics I am using to calculate the trajectory of the virus in California. All of my California statistics are taken from the official daily releases issued by the California Department of Public Health.  You can ...