2040 MATTERS

Repairing the American Dream for Younger Americans Before it is Too Late

  • Home
  • About
    • About
    • Leadership
    • Who We Read
  • Gen X+
  • How You Can Help
  • Contact

Monthly Archives April 2020

Measuring COVID-19 Model Performance

By Brian Goebel
Sunday, April 5, 2020 Civic Engagement, Public Policy and Administration

The chart below compares the predictions made in Models 1.0, 3.0, and 3.1 to the actual trajectory of the COVID-19 virus in California based on confirmed and suspected COVID-19 hospitalizations (i.e., bed count) as reported by the State at the end of each day. Please note:  The State began reporting this data on March 30th. Conclusions as ...

Continue Reading...

California Healthcare Capacity – COVID-19 Model 3.1

By Brian Goebel
Sunday, April 5, 2020 Civic Engagement, Public Policy and Administration

California has substantially more healthcare capacity than necessary to manage the pandemic under the stay at home order. I have updated Model 3.0 to Model 3.1. Key Findings: Daily new confirmed cases will peak in the State data from April 4th to April 6th. Hospitalizations will peak between April 6th and April 11th. From that point forward, ...

Continue Reading...

California Substantially Flattened the COVID-19 Curve in March

By Brian Goebel
Sunday, April 5, 2020 Civic Engagement, Public Policy and Administration

Note: This Post has been revised since its initial publication in response to reader questions and comments. As I have written previously, many in the media and the government often fail to present and interpret data correctly. With very few exceptions, such as the careful reporting by a handful of reporters at the LA Times ...

Continue Reading...

California Healthcare Capacity Model 3.0

By Brian Goebel
Thursday, April 2, 2020 Civic Engagement, Public Policy and Administration

On our current trajectory, California has more than an adequate number of hospital beds to withstand the pandemic. This Post outlines the revisions in methodology that constitute my Model 3.0 for predicting the number of hospital beds California requires to manage the COVID-19 outbreak. (I developed a Model 2.0 earlier this week, but it immediately became ...

Continue Reading...

Italy has Flattened its Curve, California May Not be Far Behind

By Brian Goebel
Wednesday, April 1, 2020 Civic Engagement, Public Policy and Administration

Italy's success likely foreshadows California's Italy's Success! There was another blockbuster positive development in the trajectory of COVID-19 today. Like other good news stories over the past two weeks, this one sadly received little attention: Italy is increasingly confident that it has flattened its curve. As the Wall Street Journal reported today, the Italian government has started studying ...

Continue Reading...
  • Newer Entries »
Why 2040 Matters

Today, civic engagement is at record lows. Partisanship and polarization are leading us down the primrose path to a less prosperous, secure, and civil country. It is time for Generation X+ to trade apathy for action and force our elected leaders to debate and solve the biggest problems facing the country and casting an increasingly long shadow over our children's future.

2040Matters.com identifies and advocates for solutions to the most significant challenges facing Generation X+ over the next 25 years – challenges undermining our security, prosperity, quality of life, and commitments to our children. You can help us make a difference. Start today by adding your voice to those calling for the government to repair the American Dream for younger Americans before it is too late.

Continue Reading...
Subscribe to Blog
Get Updates Sent to Your Email
Follow On
Facebook
Categories
Archives
Who We Read
Santa Barbara
  • Noozhawk
  • Pacific Coast Business Times
California
  • LA Times – California Section
  • CalMatters -- Dan Walters
National and International News
  • The Wall Street Journal
  • The Economist
Political, Demographic, and Cultural Insights
  • The Atlantic
  • Pew Research Center
Public Policy
  • Bipartisan Policy Center
Humor
  • The Onion
  • Andy Borowitz
Baseball Analytics
  • FanGraphs and The Hardball Times
  • Figure It Out Baseball

2040 MATTERS

Repairing the American Dream for Younger Americans Before it is Too Late

Copyright © 2040 Matters, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Policy