• Timothy J Duggan
    April 16, 2020

    This is brilliant. Thank you. I don’t agree with all of it, but whatever quibbles I have with small parts of it pale in comparison to how it stands out compared to the lack of reasonable writing on this subject that I usually see. Well done.

    • Brian Goebel
      April 17, 2020

      Thank you! And thank you very much for reading the blog.

  • Zaid
    April 17, 2020

    Thank you for your amazing columns that don’t simply restate what everyone else is reporting!

    The IHME has started modeling when each state might be ready for loosening their shelter orders. (You’ll see May 18 as the date for California.) Do you plan to review their revised model and build your own as we transition to this new phase?

    • Brian Goebel
      April 18, 2020

      Thank you for your comment. As for the next phase, if Counties take the lead on social distancing and public health measures, then I believe any modeling I do would need to be County-specific. This may pose some data acquisition challenges. But I will explore this further once plans are released for transitioning into our new normal. Thank you for reading the blog.

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